Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#52
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#68
Pace70.0#153
Improvement+2.7#73

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#52
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.3#107

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#52
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.3#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round33.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2017 48   @ Arizona St. L 68-90 38%     0 - 1 -9.1 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 17, 2017 304   McNeese St. W 83-52 97%     1 - 1 +19.4 -5.8 -5.8
  Nov 20, 2017 254   Eastern Illinois W 94-63 95%     2 - 1 +22.2 -4.4 -4.4
  Nov 23, 2017 290   Sacramento St. W 89-52 94%     3 - 1 +29.3 -3.9 -3.9
  Nov 24, 2017 58   Georgia W 75-68 53%     4 - 1 +15.9 +4.5 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2017 181   Washington St. L 86-93 84%     4 - 2 -8.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 30, 2017 130   @ San Diego W 66-57 67%     5 - 2 +14.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 03, 2017 131   Bradley W 75-52 84%     6 - 2 +22.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Dec 09, 2017 233   California L 62-63 93%     6 - 3 -8.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 21, 2017 9   Gonzaga W 72-70 36%     7 - 3 +15.3 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 27, 2017 119   @ Wyoming L 69-82 63%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -6.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Dec 30, 2017 138   Utah St. W 79-59 85%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +18.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 02, 2018 225   @ Colorado St. W 77-68 84%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +8.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 09, 2018 301   San Jose St. W 85-49 96%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +24.7 -5.7 -5.7
  Jan 13, 2018 61   @ Boise St. L 80-83 43%     10 - 5 3 - 2 +8.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Jan 17, 2018 82   Fresno St. L 73-77 72%     10 - 6 3 - 3 -0.4 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 20, 2018 105   @ New Mexico L 75-79 58%     10 - 7 3 - 4 +3.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Jan 24, 2018 225   Colorado St. W 97-78 93%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +12.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Jan 27, 2018 112   @ UNLV L 78-88 60%     11 - 8 4 - 5 -2.9 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 03, 2018 223   Air Force W 81-50 93%     12 - 8 5 - 5 +24.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 06, 2018 82   @ Fresno St. L 61-79 50%     12 - 9 5 - 6 -8.3 +4.8 +4.8
  Feb 10, 2018 35   @ Nevada L 58-83 32%     12 - 10 5 - 7 -10.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 14, 2018 119   Wyoming W 87-77 81%     13 - 10 6 - 7 +10.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2018 112   UNLV W 94-56 79%     14 - 10 7 - 7 +39.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 21, 2018 223   @ Air Force W 67-56 83%     15 - 10 8 - 7 +10.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Feb 24, 2018 301   @ San Jose St. W 71-59 91%     16 - 10 9 - 7 +6.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 27, 2018 61   Boise St. W 72-64 66%     17 - 10 10 - 7 +13.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 03, 2018 35   Nevada W 79-74 55%     18 - 10 11 - 7 +13.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Mar 08, 2018 82   Fresno St. W 64-52 62%     19 - 10 +18.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Mar 09, 2018 35   Nevada W 90-73 43%     20 - 10 +28.4 +5.7 +5.7
  Mar 10, 2018 105   New Mexico W 82-75 69%     21 - 10 +11.6 +2.3 +2.3
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.6 0.3 38.3 59.9 1.5
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.6 0.3 38.3 59.9 1.5